The fast political and military developments in Libya are more likely to result in enormous impacts on all Libya’s neighboring countries, more particularly on Tunisia. These developments include basically the following:
The possibility of achieving a political resolution of the crisis over the enforcement of other possible scenarios.
The likelihood of a foreign military intervention to support the new government in its critical military confrontation with terrorist groups, such as ISIS.
With these imminent and critical developments, Tunisia does not seem to have a clear vision and integrated strategy to meet the challenges ahead and to profit from the opportunities that they can offer. Similarly, there is no such specialized body to monitor the situation in Libya closely and to suggest app ropriate policies.
This concept note comes to suggest a method on how to meet these challenges, in line with the principles and guidelines that were highlighted in the previous note on foreign policy.
This note suggests that there is need for an integrate d approach that takes into account Tunisia’s strategies interests that stem from building a unified Libyan state, when getting ready to the repercussions of a foreign military intervention in Libya. It is arg ued in this note that Libya is likely to experience one of two scenarios: (a) a fast political solution or (b) a state of total collapse and chaos. It is, therefore, called upon Tunisian officials to work on the political and diplomatic channels to achieve that political solution for its strategic significance for Tunisia.
After reviewing the principles of Tunisia’s foreign policy, the note suggests an array of policies and recommendations on how best to deal with the Libyan crisis.