Towards a better management of the libyan crisis

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The fast political and military developments in Libya are more likely to result in enormous impacts  on  all  Libya’s  neighboring  countries,  more  particularly  on  Tunisia.  These developments include basically the following:

The possibility of achieving a political resolution of the crisis over the enforcement of other possible scenarios.

The  likelihood  of  a  foreign  military  intervention  to  support  the  new  government  in  its critical military confrontation with terrorist groups, such as ISIS.

With these imminent and critical developments, Tunisia does not seem to have a clear vision  and  integrated  strategy  to  meet  the  challenges  ahead  and  to  profit  from  the opportunities that they can offer. Similarly, there is no such specialized body to monitor the situation in Libya closely and to suggest app ropriate policies.

This concept note comes to suggest a method on how to meet these challenges, in line with the principles and guidelines that were highlighted in the previous note on foreign policy.

This note suggests  that there is need for an integrate d approach that takes into account Tunisia’s strategies interests that  stem  from building  a  unified Libyan state, when getting ready to the repercussions of a foreign military   intervention  in Libya. It is arg ued in this note that Libya is likely to  experience one  of two scenarios: (a) a fast political solution or (b) a state  of  total collapse and chaos. It  is, therefore,  called  upon Tunisian officials to work  on  the  political  and  diplomatic  channels  to  achieve  that  political  solution  for  its strategic significance for Tunisia.

After  reviewing  the  principles of  Tunisia’s foreign  policy,  the  note  suggests  an  array of policies and recommendations on how best to deal with the Libyan crisis.

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